SellingSpurtTakes 10 YearTreasuryYieldToFreshTwoYearHigh
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There is one problem with the Fed’s plan that bond yields will progress ever higher in calm, cool and collected fashion from here to 3%, 4%, 5% and onward: it assumes that those who don’t sell today, will patiently await turn to sell (with much bigger) losses tomorrow. Of course, what happens instead is that everyone will try to sell today, to avoid any losses tomorrow. What results, are spikes such as the one seen on the chart below, which just took the 10 Year yield to a fresh 2 year high of 2.8269% and rising. But perhaps most important, there are now just under 70 bps until the 3.50% "disorderlyrotation" thresholdbeyond which bad things start happening.

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